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IMF forecasts South African economy to grow by 1 per cent in 2017

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has predicted South African economy to grow by one percent in 2017.

According to the IMF, the growth was due to the resumption of solid agricultural production and increase in mining output propelled by a moderate rebound in the prices of South Africa’s commodity exports.

An IMF team led by Paolo Mauro visited Pretoria, Johannesburg, and Durban from May 3 to May 16 and reported in a statement which read:

“Following last year’s near-stagnation, there are signs that a modest improvement in the pace of economic growth is underway. The rate of real GDP growth is projected at 1 percent in 2017,” the IMF team said via a statement.

“The main factors underlying the pickup in economic activity this year are a resumption of solid agricultural production as the drought abates, and an increase in mining output prompted by a moderate rebound in the prices of South Africa’s commodity exports.

“The pace of recovery this year and the next is unlikely to prevent a further increase in unemployment and a continued decline in per capita incomes.

“Under the current stance of monetary policy, headline inflation is expected to return only somewhat below 6 percent in the second half of 2017 and in 2018.

“In line with the inflation targeting framework, it would thus be appropriate for policy rates to remain on hold, and for the central bank to stand ready to increase rates if inflation expectations were to rise.

“With limited room for stimulus through macroeconomic policies, the priority to stimulate economic growth and job creation rests with structural reforms, notably in product and service markets and in the labor market.

“The focus should be on sectors that provide crucial inputs for most firms in the economy, such as power generation, telecommunications, transportation, and financial services for small and medium-sized enterprises.”

 

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Solomon Obende
Solomon Obende is a graduate of Public Administration from the prestigious Ambrose Alli University who is passionate about communications for development. He is proficient in crafting effective social media strategies. He listens to Jimmy Cliff's songs daily.

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